East Tenn. St.
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
752  Simeon Roberts SR 33:23
957  Adam Bradtmueller FR 33:40
1,228  James Garst SO 34:02
1,282  Skyler Winchester JR 34:07
1,512  Matthew Warriner JR 34:26
1,625  Carl Oberfeitinger JR 34:35
1,632  Daniel Sonnenfeldt JR 34:36
1,738  Zack Summerall SO 34:44
1,809  Nathan Longfellow FR 34:50
1,965  Nick Horne ? 35:05
2,267  Thomas Miller SR 35:42
National Rank #174 of 312
South Region Rank #14 of 40
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 13th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 2.9%
Top 20 in Regional 99.1%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Simeon Roberts Adam Bradtmueller James Garst Skyler Winchester Matthew Warriner Carl Oberfeitinger Daniel Sonnenfeldt Zack Summerall Nathan Longfellow Nick Horne Thomas Miller
Virginia Tech Alumni Invitational 09/16 1183 33:52 33:34 34:15 33:52 34:43 34:25 34:24 34:14 34:05 34:28 35:49
Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/01 1192 33:12 33:46 34:37 34:24 35:22 34:42 35:00
High Point Vert Invitational 10/14 1162 33:29 33:31 33:49 33:42 34:04 34:31 34:28 36:06 35:32
Southern Conference Championship 10/29 1151 32:56 33:46 33:38 34:35 34:28 34:06 34:38 35:11 35:33
South Region Championships 11/11 1195 33:29 33:43 34:18 34:36 35:02 34:30





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 13.9 419 0.2 2.8 10.3 15.9 21.0 16.0 12.3 8.7 5.5 3.1 2.4 1.2 0.7 0.3



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Simeon Roberts 53.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Adam Bradtmueller 68.2
James Garst 88.4
Skyler Winchester 93.0
Matthew Warriner 111.9
Carl Oberfeitinger 122.7
Daniel Sonnenfeldt 122.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 0.2% 0.2 9
10 2.8% 2.8 10
11 10.3% 10.3 11
12 15.9% 15.9 12
13 21.0% 21.0 13
14 16.0% 16.0 14
15 12.3% 12.3 15
16 8.7% 8.7 16
17 5.5% 5.5 17
18 3.1% 3.1 18
19 2.4% 2.4 19
20 1.2% 1.2 20
21 0.7% 0.7 21
22 0.3% 0.3 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0